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October 27, 2021

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<!-- wp:paragraph --><p><strong>Jonathan Fletcher, Emerging Market Fund Manager and Head of EM Sustainability Research at Schroders</strong></p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p><em><strong>In the first of five articles on emerging market impact investing, Schroders reviews the theme of sustainable infrastructure, why it is needed, and what companies are doing.</strong></em></p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>As impact investors in emerging markets&nbsp;(EM), a fundamental element of our investment approach is&nbsp;the&nbsp;contribution&nbsp;companies make to society. This is how companies positively impact the people and environments in which they operate; in essence contributing to a better future for all.</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>One of&nbsp;the ways in which we aim to achieve this&nbsp;is&nbsp;by investing in&nbsp;sustainable infrastructure&nbsp;in emerging markets.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>What is sustainable infrastructure?&nbsp;</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Sustainable infrastructure&nbsp;provides&nbsp;affordable&nbsp;access to essential services&nbsp;and physical structures&nbsp;in a sustainable way.&nbsp;From design, through construction and operation to decommissioning, sustainable infrastructure either minimises negative impacts or actively drives positive&nbsp;economic, financial, social and environmental impacts.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>How does sustainable infrastructure contribute towards the UN’s SDGs?</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>The United Nations’s (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are 17 goals&nbsp;that aim to promote peace, prosperity and the eradication of poverty, all&nbsp;while protecting the planet.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Sustainable infrastructure plays a direct role in&nbsp;contributing to&nbsp;three&nbsp;of the SDGs.&nbsp;It should&nbsp;be more resilient&nbsp;than non-sustainable infrastructure and its development would likely promote sustainable industrialisation and foster innovation (SDG 9), as well as help support the creation of sustainable cities and communities&nbsp;(SDG&nbsp; 11).&nbsp;It can also help enhance access to basic services like clean, affordable drinking water and hygienic sanitation (SDG 6).&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>Why is it needed in EM in particular?</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p><a href="https://www.schroders.com/en/insights/economics/Why-EM-is-the-perfect-place-for-impact-investing/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">EM is the perfect place for impact investing</a>.&nbsp;More than 6.6 billion people, approximately 86% of the world’s population, live in developing countries, according to International Monetary Fund&nbsp;(IMF)&nbsp;estimates.&nbsp;Other&nbsp;IMF&nbsp;research forecasts&nbsp;that&nbsp;EM&nbsp;will account for 63% of world GDP by 2023.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>However, the provision of essential services and&nbsp;other critical&nbsp;infrastructure&nbsp;is far from&nbsp;satisfactory or inclusive in many EM.&nbsp;This&nbsp;means that&nbsp;huge proportions of their populations don’t have access to the services that the developed world takes for granted.&nbsp;And while digital inclusion remains a key challenge globally,&nbsp;it is&nbsp;especially so&nbsp;in emerging markets.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>The&nbsp;digital transformation is&nbsp;well underway in&nbsp;most&nbsp;emerging&nbsp;and frontier&nbsp;markets,&nbsp;but&nbsp;the degree of progress varies&nbsp;significantly by country.&nbsp;The&nbsp;share of the population which uses the internet is as&nbsp;high as 85% in&nbsp;Russia and&nbsp;71% in China. In Indonesia&nbsp;the&nbsp;figure is&nbsp;54%.&nbsp;Although the latest data is only to&nbsp;2019, the figure falls to&nbsp;41%&nbsp;for India, and is as low as&nbsp;34% in Nigeria&nbsp;and&nbsp;17% in Pakistan.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Research from the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.oecd.org/dev/KeyMessages_Digital_Transformation_Emerging_Markets.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">OECD</a>&nbsp;underlines the gap to developed markets. It found that the level of mobile internet subscriptions in OECD countries were double that of developing countries. In fixed line broadband, the&nbsp;equivalent&nbsp;analysis showed subscriptions were&nbsp;three&nbsp;times higher in OECD countries.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p><a href="https://www.gsma.com/r/somic/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Data&nbsp;from GSMA</a>,&nbsp;which represents the interest of mobile network providers globally, shows that the mobile broadband coverage gap&nbsp;(defined as those living in areas without mobile broadband&nbsp;coverage)&nbsp;has fallen to 6% of the world’s population, equivalent to&nbsp;450&nbsp;million people. However, there are still 3.4 billion people who have access to mobile broadband but who do not use it.&nbsp;Indeed, as GSMA highlights,&nbsp;consumers in&nbsp;lower and middle income&nbsp;countries account for&nbsp;over 90%&nbsp;of&nbsp;global unconnected population and&nbsp;98%&nbsp;of the uncovered population.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Internet connectivity is important for a number of reasons, not least because it’s an effective way to deliver educational and healthcare services,&nbsp;and can help foster economic growth.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>What is the scale of the response required?</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>The response required is significant.&nbsp;Before Covid-19 hit,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/capital-projects-and-infrastructure/our-insights/unlocking-private-sector-financing-in-emerging-markets-infrastructure" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">it was estimated</a>&nbsp;that developing countries would need to invest more than $2 trillion a year in infrastructure just to keep up with the next 15 years’ projected GDP growth.&nbsp;It can safely be assumed that the&nbsp;figure is now considerably higher.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>But many EM have sizeable gaps between their current levels of investment and their estimated needs.&nbsp;Indonesia, Mexico, Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia and South Africa&nbsp;are all cases in point, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/private-equity-and-principal-investors/our-insights/unlocking-private-sector-financing-in-emerging-markets-infrastructure" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">analysis by McKinsey</a>.</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:image {"id":147435,"sizeSlug":"full","linkDestination":"none"} --><figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img src="https://cover.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/image-7.png" alt="" class="wp-image-147435"/></figure><!-- /wp:image --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Typically,&nbsp;EM&nbsp;have relied on government funding for infrastructure requirements.&nbsp;But government finances are under pressure, not least because&nbsp;the pandemic has resulted in elevated public debt.&nbsp;Government-debt-to-GDP across 55 developing countries reached a&nbsp;record&nbsp;<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/emerging-debt-jpmorgan-idUKL8N2I2610" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">59% of GDP in 2020</a>.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>The private sector will have an increasingly important role to play in&nbsp;meeting&nbsp;the&nbsp;infrastructure needs&nbsp;in EM.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>What kind of companies&nbsp;are doing so?</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>As investors, we look at a range of quantitative and fundamental factors when analysing&nbsp;investment&nbsp;opportunities. The examples below are provided as an illustration of how we analyse the companies mentioned&nbsp;and&nbsp;are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>As always, valuation is key. Good companies don’t always make good investments and our comments are not an opinion as to the value of that company’s shares.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Internet connectivity is one area where some companies are having a positive impact. For example, Bharti Airtel is a telecommunications company with operations in India and Africa covering 24% of the world population. With its extensive network infrastructure, Bharti services underpenetrated areas in these countries, improving access to the internet and information on a significant scale. It also offers mobile payment services which promotes financial inclusion.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>It’s a similar story at Kenyan telecoms company&nbsp;<a href="https://www.schroders.com/en/us/insights/equities/mystory-the-telecoms-business-which-pioneered-a-payment-system-lifting-thousands-out-of-poverty/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Safaricom</a>. It delivers connectivity and innovative products and services, including payment solution M-Pesa. It’s estimated that the company’s positive impact on society is 9.6 times the firm's profit.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Another company that is having a positive impact on the environment and societies in EM is Taiwanese bicycle manufacturer, Merida. Its products&nbsp;provide a more sustainable, less carbon-intensive, form of transport within cities and&nbsp;positively impact the health and wellbeing of individuals&nbsp;by promoting exercise.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Samsung SDI is a Korean electronics company and a leading provider of the batteries used in electric vehicles and energy storage systems. The company’s products are enabling a global shift to sustainable transport, greener use of energy and lowering carbon emissions. It is also committed to ensuring all stakeholders are treated fairly and to “solving the environmental and social challenges faced by mankind”.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph --><!-- wp:heading --><h2><strong>Sustainable infrastructure - just one of five themes</strong>&nbsp;</h2><!-- /wp:heading --><!-- wp:paragraph --><p>Investing in companies that provide sustainable infrastructure&nbsp;in&nbsp;EM is just one way&nbsp;in which&nbsp;investors can have a positive impact on the environment&nbsp;and society.&nbsp;Other investment themes that we have identified include responsible consumption, health and&nbsp;wellness,&nbsp; inclusion&nbsp;and&nbsp;the environment.&nbsp;</p><!-- /wp:paragraph -->

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